Monday, December 05, 2005

The World Cup Draw - my best guess

Since everyone else has been speculating on what's going to happen in the World Cup draw on Friday, I thought it would be fun to add my two cents to the discussion. Because as you all know, I am nothing if not opinionated. The more I think about things, the more convinced I am that there will be six European No. 1 seeds and two South American No. 1 seeds. The reason is two-fold: The World Cup is being held in Europe, so why not pander to the "hometown" fans. Also, it will make the math surrounding the rest of the teams fairly easy, as you will see. Plus, FIFA really doesn't care about Mexico (not like they deserve a No. 1 seed anyway). So, with that said, my predictions on the top seeds are: Argentina, Brazil, England, France, Germany, Holland, Italy and Spain. I'm sure that FIFA would dearly love to have the Czech Republic as a top seed, given its seeming fascination with the team based on the world rankings (not to mention what that would mean to Eastern Europe) but not even Sepp Blatter and Co. can justify seeding Czech ahead of Holland when Holland beat them in the qualifying group. So that's eight down, six from UEFA and two from CONMEBOL. Which means that the other three, geographically-balanced pots, might look like this: Pot B: Remaining eight UEFA teams (Croatia, Czech Republic, Poland, Portugal, Serbia, Sweden, Switzerland, Ukraine) Pot C: Four CONCACAF teams, four AFC teams (Costa Rica, Mexico, Trinidad, USA, Iran, Japan, Saudi Arabia, South Korea) Pot D: Five CAF teams, remaining two CONMEBOL teams, one OFC team (Angola, Côte d'Ivoire, Ghana, Togo, Tunisia, Ecuador, Paraguay, Australia) So that's my thoughts on the subject. Yours? Jonathan


-- Jonathan @ RGB Cards @ 12/05/2005 01:56:00 PM

2 Comments:

At 12/05/2005 03:15:00 PM, Anonymous Clint said...

It also helps the US, sort of, in that if Mexico were seeded, its would by default be the easiest group and a group we're not eligible for. Making a single Euro pot also makes it easier to avoid the "no more than 2 UEFA teams" rule.

I'd be very surprised to see Mexico seeded and very, very surprised to see the US with a seed.

 
At 12/06/2005 09:11:00 AM, Blogger Jarrett said...

The draw is in...US apparently would have been seeded 9th...the first loser! :)

POT ONE
Germany (hosts)
Brazil (holders)
Argentina
England
France
Italy
Mexico
Spain

POT TWO
Australia
Angola
Ghana
Ivory Coast
Togo
Tunisia
Ecuador
Paraguay

POT THREE
Croatia
Czech Republic
Netherlands
Poland
Portugal
Sweden
Switzerland
Ukraine

POT FOUR
Iran
Japan
Saudi Arabia
South Korea
Costa Rica
Trinidad & Tobago
US

Special pot: Serbia & Montenegro

 

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